FX Weekly: 31st January 2011

 The UK grabbed the headlines as a horror GDP estimater (-0.5% q/q) put a sword to any hawkish aspirations from the BoE. Forthcoming revision to Q4 UK GDP is crucial so UK macro data will take on added significance

 Credit rating downgrade from AA to AA- for Japan heightened risk-aversion across all asset classes

 Fed, RBNZ, Norges and BoJ all left interest rates unchanged as expected

 Soft US GDP estimate for Q4 gave the US Dollar added impetus going into the weekend

 Political instability in Egypt has allowed geo-political risk to emerge as an active theme in FX. USD, JPY and CHF gapped higher in all pairs to reflect the risk-averse sentiment at the start of this week.




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