FX Weekly: 3rd October 2011

  • Several key active themes in the FX market – comparative central bank action, EFSF progress and protracted slowing of economic expansion in G20
  • A rush of central bank meetings this week – RBA (Tue), Poland (Wed), ECB and BoE (Thu), and BoJ (Fri)
  • China is on holiday all week
  • Peripheral supply is relatively light – Greek T-bills (Tue) and Spanish 2yr and 4 yr bonds on Thursday
  • AUD/NZD could be the big mover this week because a surprise RBA interest rate cut is a realistic possibility according to indicative futures markets; policy divergence between the RBA and RBNZ would be the most influential factor on AUD/NZD




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