Friday, March 11, Morning Global Market Roundup: Shares bounce, euro fades after savage ECB reaction
LONDON | BY MARC JONES
The euro steadied and European shares and bonds rebounded on Friday after being savaged on Thursday when the European Central Bank unveiled a huge new stimulus plan but signaled it was unlikely to cut its negative interest rates further.
Markets were starting to focus on the positive features of the ECB policy package, with surges to 2016 highs for both U.S. oil prices and China's yuan also boosting confidence.
The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index jumped 2.3 percent after falling 1.8 percent in the previous session, although it and MSCI's 46-country 'All World' index .MIWD00000PUS were on course for their first weekly falls in a month.
Euro traders were getting their breath back after a near 4 cent move for the currency following the ECB's announcements.
The euro slipped back to $1.1105 EUR=, having climbed from a trough of $1.0820 EUR=to a peak of $1.1217 on Thursday, a vicious move that would have stopped-out both bulls and bears and left everyone nursing losses.
"The markets are doing alright today," Societe Generale FX strategist Alvin Tan said. "The ECB did deliver easing for sure but it was a mixed message.
"It fits with our broader view that for the euro -- and the yen, for that matter -- to drop durably lower, the (U.S. Federal Reserve) will have to raise its rates further."
Bond markets were also stabilizing, with German Bunds down 4 basis points at 0.27 percent in early trade.
At one point, on Thursday German 10-year yields DE10YT=RR doubled from a low of 16 basis points to a peak of 32 basis points, a giant move for a benchmark long-term bond.
ECB President Mario Draghi's suggestion there would be no further interest rates cuts overshadowed the euro zone central bank's bold easing package, prompting criticism that he had once again botched his communication.
He was quick to note that new facts could change the outlook and emphasized his willingness to adopt other radical measures, but by then the damage was done.
Against the yen, the euro hit a three-week high of 126.86 yen on Friday, before reversing back to a flat 126.40 EURJPY=.
The dollar bounced back after coming off sharply as the risk mood darkened. It was last up 0.5 percent at 113.74 yen JPY=, though still below Thursday's pre-ECB peak of 114.45.
Against a basket of currencies, the dollar added about 0.6 percent to 96.654 .DXY, but it was still down 0.8 percent for the week, having shed 1 percent on Thursday.
Many analysts considered the market reaction rather perverse given the ECB's actual steps were very aggressive.
As well as cutting all its main interest rates, the bank lifted its asset-buying program by 20 billion euros a month, expanded the assets to include non-bank corporate debt and said it would effectively pay banks to take its cash to lend on.
HOT OIL
In commodity markets, the rise in the dollar was starting to weigh on gold, which had earlier made a 13-month top at $1,282.51 XAU= an ounce. It was last at $1,262.98, on track to gain almost 1 percent this week.
Oil prices also edged higher after dropping on Thursday, extending the recent run of see-saw trading. [O/R]
Brent LCOc1 added 1.7 percent to $40.73 a barrel, while U.S. crude CLc1 gained 2.2 percent to $38.67 to hit its highest level of the year. Both of the benchmarks are now up roughly 50 percent since their mid-January lows. [O/R]
Europe's oil and gas index .SXEP rose 1.9 percent and the STOXX Europe 600 Basic Resources index .SXPP was up 2.5 percent, the top sectoral gainer, as prices of major industrial metals also rose sharply.
Glencore (GLEN.L), Anglo American (AAL.L) and Rio Tinto (RIO.L) rose 3 to 4 percent.
Overnight, Asian shares had risen as the region also secured weekly gains, contrasting with most of the rest of the world.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose 1.1 percent on the day and the week, while Australia ended up 0.3 percent.
Japan's Nikkei .N225 erased earlier sharp losses and ended up 0.5 percent, though still fell 0.4 percent over the week.
Chinese shares lagged the region, weighed down by the banking sector, as Beijing's plan to allow debt-to-equity swaps by commercial lenders was viewed by some investors as being largely negative.
The blue-chip CSI300 index .CSI300 fell 0.6 percent, while the Shanghai Composite Index.SSEC was down 0.7 percent in afternoon trade.
China's central bank underlined its commitment to a firm yuan by fixing the currency at the high for this year.
Reuters
March 11, 2016
The euro steadied and European shares and bonds rebounded on Friday after being savaged on Thursday when the European Central Bank unveiled a huge new stimulus plan but signaled it was unlikely to cut its negative interest rates further.
Markets were starting to focus on the positive features of the ECB policy package, with surges to 2016 highs for both U.S. oil prices and China's yuan also boosting confidence.
The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index jumped 2.3 percent after falling 1.8 percent in the previous session, although it and MSCI's 46-country 'All World' index .MIWD00000PUS were on course for their first weekly falls in a month.
Euro traders were getting their breath back after a near 4 cent move for the currency following the ECB's announcements.
The euro slipped back to $1.1105 EUR=, having climbed from a trough of $1.0820 EUR=to a peak of $1.1217 on Thursday, a vicious move that would have stopped-out both bulls and bears and left everyone nursing losses.
"The markets are doing alright today," Societe Generale FX strategist Alvin Tan said. "The ECB did deliver easing for sure but it was a mixed message.
"It fits with our broader view that for the euro -- and the yen, for that matter -- to drop durably lower, the (U.S. Federal Reserve) will have to raise its rates further."
Bond markets were also stabilizing, with German Bunds down 4 basis points at 0.27 percent in early trade.
At one point, on Thursday German 10-year yields DE10YT=RR doubled from a low of 16 basis points to a peak of 32 basis points, a giant move for a benchmark long-term bond.
ECB President Mario Draghi's suggestion there would be no further interest rates cuts overshadowed the euro zone central bank's bold easing package, prompting criticism that he had once again botched his communication.
He was quick to note that new facts could change the outlook and emphasized his willingness to adopt other radical measures, but by then the damage was done.
Against the yen, the euro hit a three-week high of 126.86 yen on Friday, before reversing back to a flat 126.40 EURJPY=.
The dollar bounced back after coming off sharply as the risk mood darkened. It was last up 0.5 percent at 113.74 yen JPY=, though still below Thursday's pre-ECB peak of 114.45.
Against a basket of currencies, the dollar added about 0.6 percent to 96.654 .DXY, but it was still down 0.8 percent for the week, having shed 1 percent on Thursday.
Many analysts considered the market reaction rather perverse given the ECB's actual steps were very aggressive.
As well as cutting all its main interest rates, the bank lifted its asset-buying program by 20 billion euros a month, expanded the assets to include non-bank corporate debt and said it would effectively pay banks to take its cash to lend on.
HOT OIL
In commodity markets, the rise in the dollar was starting to weigh on gold, which had earlier made a 13-month top at $1,282.51 XAU= an ounce. It was last at $1,262.98, on track to gain almost 1 percent this week.
Oil prices also edged higher after dropping on Thursday, extending the recent run of see-saw trading. [O/R]
Brent LCOc1 added 1.7 percent to $40.73 a barrel, while U.S. crude CLc1 gained 2.2 percent to $38.67 to hit its highest level of the year. Both of the benchmarks are now up roughly 50 percent since their mid-January lows. [O/R]
Europe's oil and gas index .SXEP rose 1.9 percent and the STOXX Europe 600 Basic Resources index .SXPP was up 2.5 percent, the top sectoral gainer, as prices of major industrial metals also rose sharply.
Glencore (GLEN.L), Anglo American (AAL.L) and Rio Tinto (RIO.L) rose 3 to 4 percent.
Overnight, Asian shares had risen as the region also secured weekly gains, contrasting with most of the rest of the world.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose 1.1 percent on the day and the week, while Australia ended up 0.3 percent.
Japan's Nikkei .N225 erased earlier sharp losses and ended up 0.5 percent, though still fell 0.4 percent over the week.
Chinese shares lagged the region, weighed down by the banking sector, as Beijing's plan to allow debt-to-equity swaps by commercial lenders was viewed by some investors as being largely negative.
The blue-chip CSI300 index .CSI300 fell 0.6 percent, while the Shanghai Composite Index.SSEC was down 0.7 percent in afternoon trade.
China's central bank underlined its commitment to a firm yuan by fixing the currency at the high for this year.
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